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Prediction for CME (2016-10-09T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-10-09T02:00Z
CME Note: Halo CME seen in C2 at 10-09T02:36Z and C3 at 10-09T06:30Z. Visible to the NW as seen by STA at 10-08T21:09Z. Source is unclear.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-10-12T21:21Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-10-14T11:44Z
Prediction Method: SPM
Prediction Method Note:

SPM Model Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2016-10-09 02:00
Initial Shock Speed:  300 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed: 330 km/s
Duration Time: 0 hr

Output Results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2016-10-14 11:43:46

Lead Time: 17.63 hour(s)
Difference: -38.38 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-10-12T03:43Z

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